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It doesn’t take an industry analyst to realize these are unusual times in the car business. Inventory shortages affected by supply chain issues, global unrest, and the lingering effects of COVID-19 have driven new-vehicle prices through the proverbial roof, with the majority selling, as of this writing, for more than their manufacturer’s suggested retail prices (MSRPs).

That’s sent more shoppers to the used-car end of dealers’ lots where supply and demand issues of their own have been driving up prices. Recent figures indicate that pre-owned vehicles are commanding more than 60 percent more than they were back in the pre-pandemic era. That means that counter to the conventional wisdom, used cars have actually risen in value, rather than depreciated, over the past two years.

While this has certainly made shopping for an affordable older car, truck, or SUV challenging, it’s been a boon to those selling or trading in a pre-owned model, with resale values at all-time highs.

But as Sir Issac Newton proved, what goes up must eventually come down. It’s unsure how the currently inflated prices of both new and used vehicles will last, which makes predicting the future values of current models especially difficult. Estimating a given model’s future worth is already a crapshoot at best. A pre-owned model’s value depends largely on local supply and demand, the vehicle’s age and condition, and the number of miles on the odometer.

Still, choosing a car that’s expected to retain its original value the most tenaciously is the best way to hedge against unforeseen future market conditions, and ensure your vehicular investment will bring the maximum return down the road.

To that end, we consulted with the valuation experts at the automotive research and listings site CarEdge. They’ve analyzed millions of automotive data points and posted rankings on nearly 200 models to determine which ones will best (and worst) preserve their values. Among mainstream brands, Subaru models can be expected to return the highest percentage of original value after five years, at an average 78.65 percent. Tesla ranks highest among luxury brands, with its vehicles expected to return 68.72 percent after 60 months.

We’re presenting the 20 models below that CarEdge envisages will perform best in this regard, despite facing unprecedented market forces. All data is for vehicles in good condition, averaging 12,000 miles driven per year. We’ll provide information on the industry’s 20 worst performers in a separate post.

1. Porsche 911

2021 Porsche 911 Targa 4S front wide

This legendary sports car may go fast, but unlike so many high-priced luxury cars it loses its value slowly. Some, especially the rarest and/or most coveted models, could even become highly valued collectible cars at some future point.

  • Assumed Price New: $210,554
  • After Five Years: $178,971
  • Retained Value: 85.00 Percent

2. Kia Rio

2022 Kia Rio

While consumers and automakers alike all but ignored small cars in recent years as the market shifted to SUVs, they’re in greater demand when cash-strapped consumers look for more affordable and fuel-efficient models. That the Rio comes with an extra-long warranty helps seal the deal.

  • Assumed Price New: $23,105
  • After Five Years: $19,595
  • Retained Value: 84.81 Percent

3. Mazda3

Mazda3

The compact Mazda3 is a true driver’s car in a field of largely basic transportation, with lively acceleration and energetic handling that makes even a quick trip to the store more enjoyable. Its value should remain solid over the first half-decade, though it can be expected to drop more sharply after seven years.

  • Assumed Price New: $28,903
  • After Five Years: $21,236
  • Retained Value: 84.09 Percent

4. Honda Civic

2022 Honda Civic Touring

The Honda Civic line encompasses sedans and hatchbacks, in trims that run the gamut from mild to wild. Its well-earned reputation for reliability helps this compact car retain its value admirably over the years.

  • Assumed Price New: $28,992
  • After Five Years: $24,353
  • Retained Value: 84.00 Percent

5. GMC Canyon

2021 GMC Canyon AT4 Off-Road Performance Edition

The midsize GMC Canyon is a more affordable alternative to a larger and costlier full-size pickup truck, but it remains a worthy and versatile choice, offering multiple engine choices, cab configurations, and bed lengths.

  • Assumed Price New: $45,975
  • After Five Years: $38,412
  • Retained Value: 83.55 Percent

6. Chevrolet Camaro

Camaro SS with 1LE package

This classic sports car is available in coupe and convertible body styles, with various degrees of performance to suit most tastes and budgets. Red-hot internal combustion-engine cars like this could become scarce in the future, which might help prop up the Chevy Camaro’s long-term value among future enthusiasts.

  • Assumed Price New: $48,225
  • After Five Years: $40,253
  • Retained Value: 83.47 Percent

7. Volkswagen Jetta

2022 Volkswagen Jetta

The Volkswagen Jetta remains a far more affordable way to drive a bona fide German-engineered sedan than choosing a same-size model from the likes of Audi, BMW, or Mercedes-Benz. It’s sufficiently roomy, yet is more fun to drive than the typical compact car, and depreciates at a lower rate than its luxury-brand alternatives.

  • Assumed Price New: $26,752
  • After Five Years: $22,274
  • Retained Value: 83.26 Percent

8. Toyota Prius

2022 Toyota Prius XLE Nightshade Exterior Front Quarter

The gas/electric hybrid-powered Prius hatchback remains one of the most fuel-efficient rides on the road, with an EPA rating for 2022 that maxes out at an applaudable 58/53 city/highway mpg. That helps makes it a money-saver both at the gas pump and down the road in terms of higher retained values.

  • Assumed Price New: $32,992
  • After Five Years: $27,350
  • Retained Value: 82.90 Percent

9. Ford F-250 Super Duty

2020 Ford F-250 Tremor Exterior

While the light-duty Ford F-150 full-size pickup truck is the best-selling vehicle in the U.S., its larger sibling the F-250 Super Duty sells in fewer numbers. That supply difference likely helps bolster its future value to a subsequent owner looking for a less costly, but no less purposeful, alternative to a new model.

  • Assumed Price New: $75,411
  • After Five Years: $62,448
  • Retained Value: 82.81 Percent

10. Toyota Tacoma

2022 Toyota Tacoma SR5 Trail Edition Exterior

The midsize Toyota Tacoma pickup truck has long been an industry stalwart, even through the years when the market shifted almost entirely to full-size models, and is especially appealing when equipped for off-road use. The market for smaller trucks has been heating back up in recent years, however, which should benefit the Tacoma’s future worth.

  • Assumed Price New: $41,774
  • After Five Years: $28,011
  • Retained Value: 82.58 Percent

11. Honda CR-V

2020 Honda CR-V Touring

The compact Honda CR-V crossover SUV has long been a top seller for its overall excellence and its reputation for reliability. It’s also roomier and more practical than the typical small sedan, which contributes to its popularity.

  • Assumed Price New: $39,960
  • After Five Years: $32,907
  • Retained Value: 82.35 Percent

12. Chevrolet Colorado

Chevrolet Colorado ZR2 Bison

The Chevy Colorado midsize pickup is mechanically related to the aforementioned GMC Canyon, though it features brand-specific exterior and interior treatments. For many it can suffice as a cheaper and more maneuverable alternative to a hulking full-size model, like the brand’s own Silverado.

  • Assumed Price New: $44,708
  • After Five Years: $36,77
  • Retained Value: 82.26 Percent

13. Chevrolet Corvette

2020 Chevrolet Corvette Stingray 1LT Exterior Front Quarter

The Corvette has long been known as “America’s sports car,” and especially in its current mid-engine generation, exists as a bargain-priced alternative to exotic European coupes and convertibles. CarEdge.com says the venerable ‘Vette actually holds onto higher percentages of its original value better as time goes on, which speaks highly of its ongoing popularity among enthusiasts and more-casual fans alike.

  • Assumed Price New: $103,298
  • After Five Years: $84,704
  • Retained Value: 82.00 Percent

14. Subaru Crosstrek

2023 Subaru Crosstrek

The subcompact Subaru Crosstrek is closely related to the brand’s Impreza wagon, adding body cladding and a higher ground clearance to garner a more SUV-like look and feel. Unlike most of its competitors, the Crosstrek comes standard with all-wheel drive, which adds to its appeal, especially in snowy northern regions.

  • Assumed Price New: $33,660
  • After Five Years: $27,601
  • Retained Value: 82.00 Percent

15. Subaru Impreza

Subaru Impreza

The Subaru Impreza’s expected resale value is only a percentage point lower than its SUV equivalent, the Crosstrek. While it likewise comes standard with all-wheel drive, the Impreza offers a wider model line that includes subcompact sedans and wagons.

  • Assumed Price New: $26,775
  • After Five Years: $21,668
  • Retained Value: 81.00 Percent

16. Ford F-350 Super Duty

2022 Ford Super Duty Front 3/4

The heavy-duty Ford F-350 pickup is like a Tonka Truck come to life. It’s huge, powerful, boldly styled, and can be fitted with dual rear wheels for extreme towing abilities. It’s also expensive, but holds its own in the pre-owned market among those who require its uncanny abilities.

  • Assumed Price New: $83,445
  • After Five Years: $67,449
  • Retained Value: 80.83 Percent

17. Mazda MX-5 Miata

2019 Mazda MX-5 Miata Club: Driving Notes

The Mazda MX-5 Miata is one of the most enjoyable small roadsters to drive through twisty roads, but that assumes the weather cooperates, which more often than not it doesn’t. That tends to keep miles on a used Miata low. The hardtop model extends its seasonal utility a bit, however.

  • Assumed Price New: $34,688
  • After Five Years: $27,976
  • Retained Value: 80.65 Percent

18. Toyota 4Runner

2022 Toyota 4Runner

The midsize two-row Toyota 4Runner is an old-school rear/four-wheel drive truck-based SUV that can be configured to climb rocks with the best off-roaders. Rides like this have become rare in the crossover era, which we’d assume helps bolster its retained value.

  • Assumed Price New: $55,260
  • After Five Years: $44,562
  • Retained Value: 80.64 Percent

19. Chevrolet Express

Chevy Express

The full-size Chevrolet Express van is built in a variety of styles, sizes, and passenger capacities, primarily for commercial and livery use. Even with a high rate of return, those starting a business would be wise to choose a pre-owned model if it’s not already beat up to save some cash for other uses.

  • Assumed Price New: $48,772
  • After Five Years: $39,218
  • Retained Value: 80.41 Percent

20. Ram ProMaster

2023 Ram ProMaster Front End

The Ram ProMaster cargo van is more modern in design and execution than the aforementioned Chevy Express. It’s available in various roof heights and lengths to meet a variety of commercial needs.

  • Assumed Price New: $49,662
  • After Five Years: $39,456
  • Retained Value: 79.45 Percent

FAQs

Which cars hold their value the best?

The vehicles that best hold their value after five years of use are the Porsche 911, Kia Rio, Mazda3, Honda Civic, and GMC Canyon. The Porsche earns a spot on the list thanks to a long list of special models and trims that depreciate little (or even appreciate in value, in some cases).

How much does a car depreciate per year?

On average, a new car will depreciate 23 percent in its first year alone. After the first year, the average used car will then depreciate 7-9 percent per year for the next three years. The average new vehicle will lose 50 percent of its value after 4.5 years of use. New cars depreciate the fastest, but as a vehicle ages, its rate of depreciation slows significantly. The best values are generally in vehicles that are 2-4 years old, and still under warranty.

What cars do not hold their value?

Among popular brands, Buick has the worst resale value, maintaining an average of 63 percent of its original value in the first five years. This is followed by Chrysler (65 percent), Jeep (68 percent), and Ram (69 percent). Land Rover trails the list among luxury brands, keeping only 53 percent MSRP after five years. Runners up for the worst resale value luxury brands are Jaguar (53 percent), Mercedes-Benz (55 percent) and Lincoln (55 percent).

Which car brands have the best resale value?

Among popular car brands, the top three for resale value are Subaru, Toyota, and Volkswagen. Among luxury car brands, the top three for resale value are Tesla, Lexus, and Acura. Tesla is a newcomer to the list thanks to the Model 3's newfound five-year residual history, and the entry-level premium EV has excellent resale values.  Honda and Mazda round out the top five popular brands, while Porsche and Audi complete the top five luxury brands. 

Cars with the Best Resale Value

  Residual Value After 5 Years Assumed Price New Price After 5 Years
Porsche 911 85.00 Percent $210,554 $178,971
Kia Rio 84.81 Percent $23,105 $19,595
Mazda3 84.09 Percent $28,903 $21,236
Honda Civic 84.00 Percent $28,992 $24,353
GMC Canyon 83.55 Percent $45,975 $38,412
Chevrolet Camaro 83.47 Percent $48,225 $40,253
Volkswagen Jetta 83.26 Percent $26,752 $22,274
Toyota Prius 82.90 Percent $32,992 $27,350
Ford F-250 Super Duty 82.81 Percent $75,411 $62,448
Toyota Tacoma 82.58 Percent $41,774 $28,011
Honda CR-V 82.35 Percent $39,960 $32,907
Chevrolet Colorado 82.26 Percent $44,708 $36,777
Chevrolet Corvette 82.00 Percent $103,298 $84,704
Subaru Crosstrek 82.00 Percent $33,660 $27,601
Subaru Impreza 81.00 Percent $26,775 $21,668
Ford F-350 Super Duty 80.83 Percent $83,445 $67,449
Mazda MX-5 Miata 80.65 Percent $34,688 $27,976
Toyota 4Runner 80.64 Percent $55,260 $44,562
Chevrolet Express 80.41 Percent $48,772 $39,218
Ram ProMaster 79.45 Percent $49,662 $39,456
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