The Automobile Association of America predicts, based on its latest survey, that more than 30 million Americans are likely to buy an electric vehicle as their next car.
This number would be some 50-times more than the cumulative sales to date (over 600,000 since 2010). So, there is apparently quite a surge ahead of us.
Current sales numbers do illustrate a strong, increasing demand for plug-in vehicles despite an environment that sees gas prices lower then a few years ago. EVs have simply become more competitive over their first 6.5 years on the market, and the segment now offers more models, that fulfill more consumer needs.
“Reasons for interest in electric cars vary, with 87 percent citing a concern for the environment, 62 percent citing lower long‐term costs, 52 percent wanting cutting‐edge technology, 29 percent wanting car pool lane access, and 12 percent giving other reasons,” AAA says.
"On the other hand, Americans who are unlikely to buy an electric vehicle or are undecided are worried about the availability of charging stations and fear running out of battery power. More than half of them say the cars cost more than they want to pay, and they also are worried about battery repair and replacement costs.”
AAA’s predictions stands out in a recent CNBC article, but others still have doubts in electric car success. Cox Automotive’s Kelley Blue Book and Autotrader surveys still paint a more skeptical picture.
Michelle Krebs, a senior analyst for Autotrader, in an email to CNBC said:
“Quite the contrary. If people are saying they are interested in electric vehicles and intend to make their next purchase one, then that interest is not translating into sales. In contrast, the entire category of EVs, hybrids, plug-in hybrids, etc. is under three percent of all new vehicle sales. It has been shrinking, not growing, even before gas prices dropped. It is the most heavily discounted (biggest incentives) segment with the lowest resale values. If the tax credits go away, the segment is in even more trouble.”
Well, throwing hybrids into the same bag with plug-in hybrids and electric cars to try and diminish the current 50 percent growth of the segment really isn’t something we can stomach, but we do concede that the withdrawal of federal EV incentives in the US could be a valid reason to affect the EV market; in the short term.